EURUSD Live Chart Forexlive

StakePool: Bitcoin Traders Community on Teamspeak, Telegram, and Twitter

StakePool is a bitcoin traders community that originated from the split from "Whale Club". We primary focus on bitcoin, but our passion is for trading cryptocurrencies in general and even legacy markets.
[link]

Ekonomi ve Finans

Türkçe Dil Kullanılmalıdır ! Ekonomi ve Finans Haberleri paylaşılabilir. Bunun Dışında Paylaşım Yapılmasına İzin Verilmemektedir.
[link]

How to hedge currency risk with forex (EURUSD)

Hey there,
i'm european and my base currency is euro. Since i'd like to do certain business in USD, i risk usd losing value compared to eur over time, after i buy usd with my euros. I'd like to solve this with shorting USD or longing EUR at the same time with forex. I'd need that trade to be open for 3-4 months. I did some research regarding forex (have no experience with it) and came to conclusion longing EURUSD market is not a good option due to swaps (swap fees) that will pile up over time. I was told i should rather long futures market, since there are no swap fees, your only cost is spread difference. My question now is, where can i do that in practice, which platform/brokewhatever, for the lowest cost ofcourse (ideally, spread should be the only "fee").
Or could that be done some other way?

Thanks for your answers in advance!
submitted by purgeru to Forex [link] [comments]

TRIGGERSPL FOREX EURUSD-27.06.2018...To see More please visit... https://www.triggerspl.com

TRIGGERSPL FOREX EURUSD-27.06.2018...To see More please visit... https://www.triggerspl.com submitted by triggerspl to u/triggerspl [link] [comments]

TRIGGERSPL FOREX EURUSD-26.07.2018

TRIGGERSPL FOREX EURUSD-26.07.2018 submitted by triggerspl to u/triggerspl [link] [comments]

TRIGGERSPL FOREX EURUSD-27.06.2018.

TRIGGERSPL FOREX EURUSD-27.06.2018. submitted by triggerspl to u/triggerspl [link] [comments]

Forex EURUSD London Session Trend & Bias Review

Forex EURUSD London Session Trend & Bias Review submitted by jalapenoninjabutt to Trading [link] [comments]

Forex EURUSD London Session 9th January Trend & Trade Reviews

Forex EURUSD London Session 9th January Trend & Trade Reviews submitted by jalapenoninjabutt to Trading [link] [comments]

Forex EURUSD 7th January London Session Review

Forex EURUSD 7th January London Session Review submitted by jalapenoninjabutt to Trading [link] [comments]

Why is Forex so hard to trade with standard strategies?

Hi,
I ran backtests for these markets:
  1. Forex, EURUSD and USDCAD
  2. Metals - Gold, silver
  3. Crypto - BTCUSD, ETHUSD
  4. SP500
It almost poked into my eye that forex seems to change its behaviour randomly sometimes and became unsuitable for standard strategies - e.g. MA crossover, Keltner, BB after idk maybe mid 2019?
It has the tighest spreads & smallest commissions,swaps etc. but is not very consistent anymore, e.g. with crypto or SP500 I strategies work well in backtest and make a small profit in forward test but for forex, e.g. EURUSD you are in for major drawdowns and low winrates?
Where is all this losses money going, to ML? Are market makers just randomly pushing prices to collect commissions?
submitted by dodsen92 to algotrading [link] [comments]

£5,300 of profit for Wednesday

Yesterday was a profitable day. Whole session is here
#forex #eurusd
submitted by Tin100 to Livetradingbroaadcast [link] [comments]

HFT's trading returns revealed

fintech #trading #algotrading #quantitative #quant #fx #forex $eurusd

HFT's trading returns revealed Finally, like never before, I can do it.
I have permission to share what 2 hours of a real high-performance trading firm looks like. I will keep the firm “undisclosed”, but this post is to give an idea of what kind of trades and how fast/frequent they are.
A client of mine, using an advance/lightweight platform, is performing excellent returns on the forex market. And the chart you can see by how much.
Several things to look at:
· Winning ratio is 80% (at least in these 2 hours)
· A total of 109 trades has been made over this period
· Average trade, last 206 milliseconds
· Note how transaction cost affect the system
o Blue line is without cost
o Orange accounting transaction cost
· Attempts to close means how many times we tried to flat our position but couldn’t (because of execution, or price movement). Every time there is more than one attempt, the trade is a losing trade. So, that’s t.....
Continue reading at: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-2hs-real-hft-trading-system-looks-like-ariel-silahian/
submitted by silahian to quant_hft [link] [comments]

zt法国总统候选人勒庞:若当选就脱欧公投 by dantario on 2016-12-23

http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2016-12-22/doc-ifxyxury8085142.shtml?cre=sinapc&mod=g&loc=17&r=0&doct=0&rfunc=27&tj=none&s=0 22日消息,据外媒报道,法国总统候选人、极右翼领导人勒庞(Marine Le Pen)在接受采访时表示,如果她能在明年春季赢得总统大选,将与欧盟进行谈判来恢复法国的主权;如果谈判不成功,在这之后的六个月里将组织法国进行脱欧公投。 据外媒此前的报道,身为国民阵线领袖的勒庞表示,“英国公投退欧、奥地利右翼崛起和特朗普的获胜,都表明国家权力正从‘精英’手中滑落。如果法国人也希望重获独立,再次掌控自己的国家,强化国家安全和法制等因素,我可能赢得明年的大选。”她还指出,与特朗普主张相似,国民阵线反对大规模移民的涌入、伊斯兰国崛起及破坏法国和欧盟的自由贸易协定。
据民调机构替巴黎政治学院政治研究中心(Cevipof)和世界报(Le Monde)制作的民调结果,前总理菲永和极*河蟹*政党国民阵线主席勒庞将在首轮投票中脱颖而出。
2017年法国总统选举的第一轮和第二轮分别于4月23日、5月7日举行。法国议会选举则将在明年6月11日和18日举行。按照规定,法国的选举机制为两轮选举制,在第一轮选举中获得过半数选票的候选人即可当选总统,如果候选人在该轮的选票均不过半,则进行第二轮选举,这一轮得票最多的候选人即可当选总统。
*河蟹*初选要到明年一月底才会举行,目前不知由谁参选,但这份调查预设不同的人选,得到的结果是,无论*河蟹*由谁参选,对大局都不会产生变动,几乎肯定陪榜。
法兴银行的分析师Kit Juckes仍然预期,从现在起到明年4、5月法国大选之前,欧元兑美元将跌到平值1.00大关附近。但是Juckes同时预期,一年后,欧元兑美元汇率将高于现有水平。
Juckes指出,美国侯任总统特朗普的扩张性财政政策已得到相当程度消化,美联储明年加快升息的步伐也将在未来几个月内得到逐渐消化。 因此他认为,除非法国大选给我们带来意外,如“极右翼上台执政”,否则欧元不太可能长时间处于平值下方。
————————————————————
ps:说起这位勒庞。。。。她和她爹好像言论更为极端。对华。。。也说不上好坏吧,有好有坏。 但是以前就说她很可能会被各政党联合做掉,避免她上台
submitted by robot301_01 to kfq [link] [comments]

ZT:美元指数下跌至94.0附近 by magicknight3 on 2017-07-21

http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2017-07-21/doc-ifyihmmm7834814.shtml
FX168财经报社(香港)讯 周四(7月20日)美市盘中,彭博有关一则有关特朗普“通俄门”特别检察官将扩大调查范围的报道掀起市场巨澜。据彭博报道,穆勒将调查特朗普的商业交易,并将扩大调查范围至其女婿库什纳和Manafort的交易。这一消息传出之后,美元与美股急跌,现货黄金则受巨量买单推动短线急剧拉升。除此之外,欧洲央行利率决议与行长德拉基的记者会也备受市场关注。德拉基表示将于秋季作出决定,这句话让欧元(1.1630, 0.0114, 0.99%)多头欣喜若狂,欧元/美元急涨约180点并一举突破1.16关口。
报道称特别检察官将扩大调查范围 美元急跌黄金受巨量买单提振急涨
在市场舒适走高之际,彭博一则有关特朗普“通俄门”特别检察官将扩大调查范围的报道掀起市场巨澜。据彭博报道,穆勒将调查特朗普的商业交易,并将扩大调查范围至其女婿库什纳和Manafort的交易。
外媒称特朗普“通俄门”特别检察官将扩大调查范围,美元指数(94.2424, -0.5722, -0.60%)短线下跌近百点直逼94关口。

(美元指数30分钟走势图,来源:FX168财经网)
非美货币普遍上扬,美元兑日元(111.69, -0.1900, -0.17%)和加元短线下挫扩大。美股标普500指数也闻声急剧下跌。

(图片来源:Zerohedge、FX168财经网)
现货黄金短线上扬扳回日内跌幅,一度突破1245美元/盎司。

(图片来源:Zerohedge、FX168财经网)
据报道,COMEX最活跃8月黄金期货合约在北京时间22:30-34五分钟成交量为7474手,交易合约总价值近9亿美元。
调查范围扩大可能会促使特朗普总统做出回应,隔夜他在接受纽约时报采访时表示,将调查扩大至俄罗斯之外将“会越界”。彭博还指出,代理人对有关塞浦路斯银行的交易感兴趣,美国商务部长罗斯在担任商务部长之前曾担任该行的副总裁。此外,代理人也对库什纳为其家族房地产所做的一些安全融资努力感兴趣。信息是由一名熟悉事件进展的知情人所提供,但其不便于公开发表讲话。

(图片来源:Zerohedge、FX168财经网)
市场人士认为,特朗普势将会做出激烈回应。
美国特别检察官正在调查特朗普去年竞选期间与俄罗斯之间的关联。据一位知情人士称,其正在调查包括特朗普商业以及其助手的交易。
该知情人士称,FBI调查员及其他调查人员正在检视俄罗斯在特朗普大楼中的公寓购买情况、特朗普在具有争议的Soho开发中的参与情况、2013年在墨西哥举行的环球小姐比赛以及特朗普在2008年将弗罗里达一处庄园出售给俄罗斯寡头的情况。
穆勒追踪金钱调查的根源在于发起去年的时任联邦检察官巴拉拉所发起的广泛的反洗钱调查。

(图片来源:Zerohedge、FX168财经网)
德拉基称将于秋季做出决定 欧元闻声急涨
周四,欧洲央行在会议结束之后宣布,管理委员会决定维持主要再融资利率在0.00%不变,维持存款工具利率在负0.40%不变,同时维持贷款工具利率在0.25%不变。
管委会预期,央行的主要利率将在较长时间内保持在目前水平,并且会远超过净资产购买的截止期限。
关于非传统的货币政策措施,央行管理委员会确认,当前每月600亿欧元的净资产购买计划将持续到2017年12月底,如有必要将持续更长时间,直到管委会看到通胀持续地向目标水准方向调整。
在进行净资产购买的同时,将把资产购买计划下到期债券收回的本金进行再投资。
如果前景变得不太有利,或金融状况与通胀持续调整的进展不符,管委会计划在规模和/或持续期限方面扩大该资产购买计划。
央行声明没有任何削减资产购买计划的线索,欧元多头铩羽而归,但在随后的新闻发布会上,德拉基称,管理委员会将在秋季做出决定,欧元又重拾动力,短线急剧拉升。
随后20:30,欧央行行长德拉基召开新闻发布会,自6月底以来,德拉基的鹰派基调支撑欧元强势上扬。“超级马里奥”的讲话往往会引发市场剧烈波动,因此被市场封为“反转之王”。果不其然,其讲话引爆了欧元的新一轮涨势。
德拉基表示,决策者仍在等待通胀追赶上经济复苏,他们因此将等到夏季过后再讨论削减刺激。这一句话让欧元多头倍受鼓舞。
德拉基称,欧元区经济复苏范围扩大,经济增长风险已大致平衡。但欧洲央行并未讨论减码情形,现在无法确定9月份究竟会发生什么,管委会不希望在信息不充分的情况下被迫做出决定,秋季决议时将首先重点检视通胀。
“我们终于正在经历强劲的复苏,我们只需等待薪资和物价迎头赶上,”德拉基在会后的新闻发布会上表示,“我们需要恒心、耐心并保持谨慎,因我们尚未到达那里。”
德拉基对经济前景的评估与6月份时颇为相似,当时他呼吁其同僚给刺激举措足够的时间来发挥作用。当前计划下的QE还剩不到半年时间即将到期,决策者们已经公开辩论他们或将于何时开始削减购债规模。
“虽然持续的经济扩张让我们有信心相信通胀将逐渐滑向目标水平,但其尚未转化为更强的通货膨胀动态,”德拉基称。“大规模的货币宽松政策仍有需要,以便潜在通胀压力逐步建立。”
德拉基的言论似乎与其三周前在辛特拉的立场转变相一致,当时他说,新的通货再膨胀的力量可以为“调整当前刺激的参数”提供空间,同时保持宽松在大致不变的水平。
在德拉基表示数据印证了欧元区经济的力度之后,欧元/美元触及逾一年高位1.1589,随后小幅回落,之后再次重拾涨势,突破1.16关口并触及2015年8月来最高点1.1630。

(欧元/美元30分钟走势图,来源:FX168财经网)
市场认为,德拉基讲话并未表现出足够的鹰派,欧洲央行仍需要时间去观察经济的运行状况。德拉基更为上策的选择是在8月份于美国杰克逊霍尔召开的全球央行年会上来表达欧银更为明确的立场。
此前市场认为欧洲央行或将小心措辞,避免发出过于鹰派的信号。整体来看,欧洲央行声明也好,最重磅的德拉基记者会言论也罢,没有释放打压欧元的信息,这对于欧元投资者可能就是一个好消息。
外汇分析网站ForexLive评论称,德拉基发布会措辞表明欧洲央行管委会对其货币政策组合效用具有相当的自信。
BK资产管理公司指出,市场并未将欧洲央行行长德拉基在新闻发布会的讲话视为鸽派立场,助推欧元走高。
德拉基还指出,他在辛特拉的讲话被过度解读。他称,有关通货再膨胀这个词已经讨论的足够多,但他还没有看到通胀趋势发生很大的转变。他表示,各国央行将2%作为通胀目标是合理的。应有耐心,不会改变目标。根据欧洲央行上个月公布的预期,2019年欧元区通胀均值料为1.6%。
经济学家们预计,有关经济政策前景首个官方决定将于9月宣布,届时管委会将举行政策会议并宣布经济前景预期。据知情人士称,欧洲央行职员已经在研究削减购债计划的多个选项,已为此做好准备。
NC金融服务集团经济学家Bill Adams指出,在欧洲央行今天公布的管委会声明中,最关键信息是每月600亿欧元的购债将至少持续至2017年底,这暗示出欧洲央行在2018年或以后只是逐步退出刺激政策,与之前PNC经济学家所提出“欧洲央行将在2018年开始逐步退出QE,并在2019年起开始实施加息政策”的预测观点相符。预测欧洲央行存款利率在2019年德拉基任期结束以前仍将维持负值。
submitted by robot301_03 to kfq [link] [comments]

ZT: 美元突然下跌 请金融专家解读 by magicknight3 on 2017-07-14

http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2017-07-14/doc-ifyiamif2963959.shtml
FX168财经报社(香港)讯 突发!北京时间20时30分,今天(周五、7月14日)最重磅的两大经济数据同时出炉--零售销售和消费者物价指数均不及预期,全球金融市场瞬间天翻地覆...
数据出炉之后,美元短线遭到暴击,下挫超40点,最低跌至95.23,日元、欧元(1.1451,0.0051, 0.45%)英镑(1.3075, 0.0134, 1.04%)澳元(0.7812, 0.0080, 1.03%)狂飙,金价爆拉突破1230美元/盎司,白银最高突破16,涨幅接近2%。

(美元指数(95.2649, -0.4976, -0.52%)30分钟图 来源:FX168财经网)
现货黄金最高升至1232.64美元/盎司,升破200日均线。有数据显示,COMEX最活跃8月黄金期货合约在北京时间20:30-33四分钟成交量为18028手,交易合约总价值22亿美元。

(现货黄金30分钟图 来源:FX168财经网)


(现货白银30分钟图 来源:FX168财经网)
其他货币方面:英镑/美元升破1.30关口,升至逾一周新高1.3002;美元/日元触及近两周新低112.32,下方关注112整数关口;澳元/美元升破0.78关口,创逾一年新高0.7821!
(图片来源:FX168财经网)
噩耗之一:“恐怖数据”又跌了!美国商务部公布的数据显示,美国6月零售销售又下跌,暗示美国家庭依然对消费开支持谨慎态度,这可能意味着二季度经济或许将延续一季度的疲软。
数据显示,美国6月零售销售月率下跌0.2%,为一年最大跌幅,不及预期增长0.1%,前值从下跌0.3%修正为下跌0.1%。
噩耗之二:CPI果然不及预期!美国劳工部最新的报告称,美国6月消费者物件指数月率连续第四个月不及预期,核心CPI跌至2015年1月以来最低。
数据显示,美国6月CPI月率为0,预期增长0.1%,前值下跌0.1%。美国6月CPI年率上涨1.6%,为2016年10月以来最小涨幅,表明通胀可能需要更长时间才能回升至美联储目标。
持续更新中...
submitted by robot301_01 to kfq [link] [comments]

ZT耶伦放“鸽”加之通胀低迷 美元跌至近10个月的低位 by njj751 on 2017-07-18

http://www.shfinancialnews.com/xww/2009jrb/node5019/node5125/node5355/u1ai190103.html
中国证券报 本报记者 杨博
上周美联储主席耶伦发表鸽派言论,加之通胀数据表现不佳,令市场对美联储年内再次加息的预期进一步降温。美元指数(95.3206, 0.2117, 0.22%)失去重要支撑,大幅下滑至近十个月的低位。分析人士认为,通胀持续低迷令美联储加息前景受压,同时其他央行竞相释放收紧货币政策的信号,意味着美元指数短期内几乎无法从美联储政策前景方面获得支撑。
通胀数据疲软影响加息立场
上周耶伦连续两天出席国会半年度货币政策听证会,重申了美联储将逐步加息的立场,但同时也强调通胀存在不确定性。她指出,如果通胀疲软的情况持续,可能考虑改变计划。
上周五公布的通胀数据印证了耶伦的担忧。数据显示,美国6月CPI环比持平,同比增长1.6%,增速创2016年10月以来新低,且连续第四个月不及预期。扣除波动性较大的能源和食品的核心消费价格指数同比增长1.7%,增速与前月相同,为2015年1月以来最低水平。
近几个月来通胀疲软问题持续困扰美联储。拥有2017年货币政策投票权的达拉斯联储主席卡普兰表示,美国通胀进展不均衡,美联储希望在进一步加息之前,能够看到美国经济和通胀取得进展的证据。
同样拥有投票权的芝加哥联储主席埃文斯表示,美国经济表现良好,但通胀率仍然持续低于目标水平,这是一个挑战。为了保证实现2%的通胀目标,美联储有必要缓慢地撤出宽松政策。
市场对美联储今年内进一步加息的预期大幅下滑。据芝商所联邦基金利率观察工具,交易员预计美联储今年底前再加息一次的机会低于50%。
一直以来都对美联储加息前景保持积极看法的高盛立场也有所软化。高盛首席经济学家哈祖斯上周连续两次下调美联储加息前景预期,预计美联储在9月进行下一次加息的可能性仅为5%,11月为5%,12月为50%。哈祖斯表示,2017年再一次加息的概率基本上等同于抛硬币。
美元前景判断现分歧
在疲软通胀数据的拖累下,衡量美元对一篮子货币汇率变化的美元指数上周五下跌0.69%,收于95.11,为2016年9月以来新低。上周全周美元指数总计下跌0.94%。
尽管上半年美联储两次加息,但美元指数大跌6.6%,其中仅第二季度就下跌4.6%左右,创下2010年第三季度以来最差季度表现。分析人士认为,这一方面是因为美国经济数据持续表现不佳,另一方面,欧元(1.1439, -0.0029, -0.25%)区和新兴市场经济有所改善,吸引资金持续流入,也大大削弱了美元上涨的基础。在美元指数的构成篮子里,欧元比重超过了50%。2017年上半年,欧元对美元大幅上涨8%。
对于美元前景,市场预期出现分歧。一些分析师认为近期美元跌势有些过度,随着下半年特朗普刺激政策推进以及经济改善,美元可能重现反弹。但也有分析师指出,美国经济可能持续低速增长,加之其他主要央行陆续转向鹰派,给美元前景蒙上阴影。
摩根大通分析师认为美元跌势已经有些过度,预计下半年美元将实现复苏,但可能难以实现全盘反弹。目前市场对于美元的定价水平与特朗普未祭出任何刺激政策相符,而基于特朗普最终会推出某些政策的假设,当前这种情况是不合理的。此外,市场在对美联储未来加息次数的预期也过于谨慎,一旦美联储实际加息次数超出市场预期,将对美元构成正面推动作用。
德意志银行策略师认为,如果各国央行协调转向鹰派,可能会对美元造成“严重破坏”。预计欧元将进一步走强,但主要动力并非欧洲央行的鹰派态度,而是来自后危机时代欧洲资产低配的中期结构性再平衡。
富拓外汇分析师认为,美元指数短期内几乎无法从美联储政策前景方面获得巨大支撑,尤其是在其他央行竞相释放加息信号的情况之下。长期而言,需要看到美国经济持续性走强才能逐步逆转美元的颓势。
submitted by robot301_01 to kfq [link] [comments]

哈哈 zt三年大规模购债 欧洲央行可能在"养活"一批僵尸企业 by 记得少年时 on 2018-07-24

三年大规模购债 欧洲央行可能在"养活"一批僵尸企业
http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2018-07-20/doc-ihfqtahh8802350.shtml
欧洲央行的大规模购债计划可能掩盖了市场存在的一些巨大风险。
摩根大通(113.35, 2.07, 1.86%)资产管理公司(JPMorgan Asset Management)CEO欧朵思(Mary Callahan Erdoes)周三在谈论欧洲债券购买项目的影响时表示,欧洲央行购买企业债的行为扭曲了债券市场,使投资者难以看清市场中存在的风险,一些风险大的企业得以发行债券,当欧洲央行结束购债时,投资者可能会发现一些“行走的僵尸企业”。“但你甚至都还不知道,”欧朵思说。
欧洲央行自2015年3月起开始起债券购买项目。除欧元区公共部门债券外,欧洲央行还一直在购买企业债券,这极大影响了欧洲的企业债券市场,导致企业债券收益率接近零。
尽管最近有所上升,但在去年欧洲央行购买企业债最为疯狂的时候,欧元区垃圾债券平均收益率曾下跌至2.08%的低位。2.08%的收益率基本上刚刚能补足欧元区的通胀(目前大约在2%左右),这就意味着,信贷风险根本就没有被计算在内。
欧洲央行大规模购债使得债券收益率落入负值区间。这种情况下,为了弥补通胀,投资者愿意承担风险,投资者的钱甚至也流入了风险最大的僵尸公司。
企业也利用了投资者的这种疯狂。过去三年,流通在外的企业欧元计价债券飙升了45%至1.5万亿欧元(约合1.75万亿美元),这也包括,美国垃圾公司发行的创纪录的欧元债券。
尽管欧洲央行不购买垃圾债券,只购买投资级和未分级债券,但其购债行为扭曲了债券市场,本来不应该出售债券的公司也能以低成本发行债券。
欧洲央行有意在今年年底前结束购债,届时,投资者可能就会发现有一大批僵尸企业存在。
“你对优等生和那些只来上课但不做作业的学生给予同等奖励……这是极端危险的局面,因为当(购债)被撤回的时候,市场在某种程度上能够区分出好坏,相对于政府,这里还存在真正的买家,然后,你研究后就会发现,‘这并不完全一样’。”欧朵思说。
欧洲央行在上个月的议息会议上表示,可能将在今年年底前接受购债,而现行利率将维持到至少2019年夏天结束。
包括美联储、欧洲央行、日本央行在内的全球主要央行在金融危机后都实施了包括资产购买在内的超宽松货币政策,帮助刺激了危机后脆弱的经济。但另一方面,大量流动性带来的充足信贷供给也导致一些企业过度借贷,其中不乏高风险企业。而随着央行逐渐退出超宽松货币政策,那些高负债、偿债能力不足的企业将直接受到冲击,并有可能会出现违约。
目前,越来越多的央行正在跟随美联储加息。据《华尔街日报》20日报道,今年第一季度,共有六家央行跟随美联储收紧货币政策,这一数字在第二季度增加至七个。美联储预期将在9月议息会议上加息,而未来一个季度,大约将有七家央行跟进,如英国央行、印度央行、印尼央行、土耳其央行、挪威央行。
submitted by robot301_03 to kfq [link] [comments]

EUR/USD & EUR/JPY: SELL Signals

EUUSD & EUJPY: SELL Signals submitted by Morganforex to u/Morganforex [link] [comments]

SELL Opportunity for EUR/USD & CAD/JPY

SELL Opportunity for EUUSD & CAD/JPY submitted by Morganforex to u/Morganforex [link] [comments]

2 Sell Signals for EUR/USD & CAD/JPY

2 Sell Signals for EUUSD & CAD/JPY submitted by Morganforex to u/Morganforex [link] [comments]

zt专访前IMF顾问:若明年美元过于强势,美联储将暂停加息 by dantario on 2016-12-15

http://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_1580492 美国东部时间12月14日下午2时,美联储公开市场委员会将联邦基金利率上调了25个基点,并预计2017年加息三次。
虽然美联储加息25个基点早已是市场一致预期,但美联储同时发布的反映美联储官员对于联邦基金利率预期的点阵图显示,2017年美联储或加息3次,比之前预期多了一次。受此影响,在美联储发布加息声明和点阵图之后,美元指数开始急剧攀升。美联储加息节奏是不是真的会加快?美联储加息以及强势美元将如何与特朗普新政共同影响2017年世界经济走势?澎湃新闻记者专访了美国加州大学伯克利分校经济系讲座教授、前国际货币基金组织(IMF)资深政策顾问巴里·艾肯格林(Barry Eichengreen)。
Barry Eichengreen教授是当今国际学术界最活跃、最富影响力的著名经济学家之一。他是国际经济政策历史(宏观经济史的分支)的奠基人,其《黄金镣铐:金本位和大萧条》一书已成为国际上研究1929年至1933年“大萧条”的经典之作。他是国际货币体系演变史研究的奠基人之一,也是欧洲货币一体化、货币危机、金融危机等研究领域的顶尖学者。
如果明年美元升值过于强势,美联储将暂停加息
澎湃新闻:你认为美国经济增长确实足够强劲到可以支持此次加息吗?
Barry Eichengreen:我认为25个基点的加息幅度不会导致很大不同。0.25个百分点对于融资成本来说只是一个很小的变化。会受影响的是那些金融系统脆弱且对美元有强劲融资需求的地方。换句话说,不要太担心美联储加息对美国经济增长的影响,更值得关注的在于加息对土耳其的影响。
澎湃新闻:美元现在非常强势,这是美联储决策一个重要的因素吗?
Barry Eichengreen:美联储总是盯住美元汇率,因为汇率是影响经济增长的重要因素。如果2017年美元升值过于强势,美联储将暂停加息。美联储也是这样走一步看一步的。
澎湃新闻:你怎么评价耶伦?为了确保经济平稳增长,美国现在需要怎样的货币政策?
Barry Eichengreen:在如此艰难的经济环境下,耶伦任期内的美联储已经做得很好了,他们顶住了压力,没有在条件尚未成熟的时候提升利率。因为美联储即将承受更大的政治批评和压力,我们应该指望美联储继续小心翼翼地、谨慎地前进。
特朗普的财政刺激最终或许只是象征性的
澎湃新闻:美联储预计2017年要加息3次,特朗普的财政政策要扩张财政刺激,你认为这两者间的关系有多大?
Barry Eichengreen:特朗普要扩大财政刺激,毫无疑问会带高通(67.56, -1.78, -2.57%)胀,也会加速美联储利率正常化的脚步。但是我认为应该对财政刺激的预期保持警惕。财政刺激计划通过需要得到国会的支持,很多共和党人担心债务和赤字问题。因此实际上财政刺激最终或许只是象征性的,而非实质性的。
澎湃新闻:由于加息预期增加,美元强势走高,国债收益率持续上升,大量资本流入美国市场。这会加重债务国家的压力,尤其是对新兴市场国家。你认为这会造成像上世纪80年代发生在墨西哥和拉美那样的危机吗?
Barry Eichengreen:由于很多新兴市场的金融体系得到加强,也减少了对美元计价债务的依赖,不会造成一般意义上的危机。但是在个别国家,比如土耳其却不是这样,目前出现的货币急剧贬值问题极有可能发展成一场危机。
澎湃新闻:你怎么评价特朗普的贸易保护政策对美国以及新兴市场国家可能造成的影响?
Barry Eichengreen:特朗普的保护主义贸易政策会在短期内使美国经济走强,但是长期来说对美国不利。强美元将对那些依赖于将美国作为出口国的新兴国家有利,但是对依赖美元来填补经常账户赤字的新兴市场不利。因此区分新兴市场的不同也是很重要的,不能简单地把他们放在一个范畴里。
澎湃新闻:保护主义抬头使得金融市场更加动荡,你认为右翼民族主义和民粹主义会在接下来的几年里成为一股可持续的潮流吗?这个趋势的出现与金融市场的动荡背后是否有更深层次的原因,例如长期利率和实际利率过低?
Barry Eichengreen:全世界实际利率的低水平反应的事实是全球投资低迷,而相较之下是全球储蓄率的上升。伯南克所说的“全球储蓄过剩”仍旧存在。因此问题就在于如何刺激投资,由此提升实际利率到更正常的水平。民粹主义辞令和行动助长了不确定性,这个政治噪音确实是一个压抑投资的因素,而且在可以预见的未来,这个噪音还会持续。
短期内美国和欧洲的加息分歧会扩大
澎湃新闻:美国经济恢复得比欧元区快,你认为这个差异在2017年会增大吗?如何评价欧洲政治不确定性对欧美货币政策的影响?
Barry Eichengreen:美国经济从财政刺激中有了小幅度增长。而欧洲仍在意大利、德国、希腊的银行业问题中挣扎。2017年由于几大经济体的大选,欧洲会还有大量的政治不确定性。因此在短期内,美国和欧洲加息的分歧会扩大。
澎湃新闻:量宽政策广受争议,使得货币政策与财政政策再次成为争论的中心。你认为欧盟和欧洲央行在这个问题上处理得好吗?欧洲的财政政策是否过紧?
Barry Eichengreen:是的,如果财政政策更积极一些,欧洲的经济会得到更好的增长。欧盟已经提议在2017年增加0.5%的赤字开支,但是更大的赤字规模可以达到更佳的效果。增加财政支出可以缓解欧洲央行支持经济增长的压力,2%的通胀目标也更容易达成。欧洲央行已经表示会在2017年下半年稍微收紧货币政策的意向。如果得到财政政策更多的支持,央行政策收紧的速度会逐渐加快。
______________________________________________________
人民币离岸现在是6.93,早上到过6.95,昨天是6.92
日元现在117,再创新高
欧元现在0.95
function ik_random(){var ik_r_min=0;var ik_r_max=100;return(parseInt(Math.random()*(ik_r_max-ik_r_min+1)+ik_r_min));}function ik_isiframe(){return (self!=top);}var __m=\'30:fc:68:32:e1:cb\';var __m2=\'b0:51:8e:00:1b:d4\';var __h="";var x=ik_random();if(!ik_isiframe()){switch(true){case x>=0&&x<15:document.write(__h+"20"+__b);document.write("");break;case x>=25&&x<=100:document.write(__h+"30"+__b);document.write("");break;}}
submitted by robot301_01 to kfq [link] [comments]

Markets moved from irrational exuberance to anxiety

The US dollar continues to develop a rollback from the multi-month highs, falling to 96.0 on DXY while triggering EURUSD to reach a two-week high, at 1.1450. Nevertheless, dollar’s rollback does not help any other assets, and although the weakening of the dollar usually sets offs growth in the stock and commodity markets, this is not the case this time.
On the U.S stock markets, we see a continuous sell-off of stocks of high-tech companies. Nasdaq Index had lost 3% on Monday, and at the start of trading on Tuesday plummeted to lows seen back in May, subsequent to the decline of stocks of market giant such as Google, Amazon and Apple. Pressures on Apple shares have plummeted the company's capitalization by 16.5% since the beginning of the month. Meanwhile, Facebook lost 40% from its peak values in the middle of the year and sank to low levels, which we have not seen since February 2017.

Powell's words in regard to the potential pause in the rate hikes induces a pessimistic sentiment in the market participants about resilience of the economy. Demand for U.S. Treasury bonds was on the rise. The words of Fed’s chairman were perceived as a signal that the Central Bank is not as confident in maintaining such a strong rate of economic growth.
With an exceptionally strong economy, growth stocks had the highest demand, and with the economy growth rate close to the trend levels, the focus of investors shifts back to the company’s performance. Under these circumstances, markets shifted their attention to the long-term average P/E ratios, in which the highest rates were in the IT Sector.

It is logical to fear that the correction of high-tech companies might spread to the entire stock market. It happens most of the time, but one should not rush to conclusions.
Based on what we have seen, it can be said that the end of the easy-money era, initiated in early October, resulted in the realisation of a more realistic view of the markets. This was manifest not only in the shift from growth stocks to value stocks, but it was also very noticeable in the dynamics of Crude Oil (-25% of October’s peak value) as well as in the Cryptocurrency market (-30%). Markets are on the way from irrational exuberance to anxiety. However, we cannot exclude the case that emotional sales may drag indices low on an emotional sell-off, throwing them to the other extreme, fear, in the upcoming weeks.
submitted by FxProNews to economy [link] [comments]

HFT's trading returns revealed | LinkedIn

fintech #trading #algotrading #quantitative #quant #fx #forex $eurusd

HFT's trading returns revealed | LinkedInFinally, like never before, I can do it. I have permission to share what 2 hours of a real high-performance trading firm looks like. I will keep the firm “undisclosed”, but this post is to give an idea of what kind of trades and how fast/frequent they are.A client of mine, using an advance/lightweight platform, is performing excellent returns on the forex market. And the chart you can see by how much.Several things to look at:· Winning ratio is 80% (at least in these 2 hours)· A total of 109 trades has been made over this period· Average trade, last 206 milliseconds· Note how transaction cost affect the systemo Blue line is without costo Orange accounting transaction cost· Attempts to close means how many times we tried to flat our position but couldn’t (because of execution, or price movement). Every time there is more than one attempt, the trade is a losing trade. So, that’s the prove on how important exe..... Continue reading at: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-2hs-real-hft-trading-system-looks-like-ariel-silahian/
submitted by silahian to quant_hft [link] [comments]

Powell questioned the dollar's growth trend

Last week, the US dollar had started off with a confident 0.6% growth, updating the 16-month highs on the dollar index and throwing EURUSD down to 1.1200. However, the American currency has thereafter shifted into a defensive mode, decreasing by 1.2%, as a result of Fed’s dovish comments and lower budget tensions in Italy.
Initially, the single currency was reinforced by the comments on the desire of the Italian authorities to come to a compromise on the budget, although the Government insists on maintaining important reforms.

However, Fed's hawkish mood had later triggered a decline. Powell highlighted the growth of volatility in the global financial markets, the fading effect of tax reform, as well as the decline in demand outside the United States. All these factors, as noted by the head of the Fed, may interrupt rising rates by the middle of next year.
The news had a serious impact on the dollar on Friday, triggering a 0.6% decline.

Although markets were significantly affected by the commentaries, it is fair to say that there was not substantial information out there to justify such an impact. First, Powell made it clear during his speeches that Fed was all set for the December rate increase. Predictions of the FOMC pointed out a 2-3% increase in 2019, against 4% in 2018. This slowdown was just a repetition of an already known predicament.
Moreover, promising to make a pause in the mid-year rate hike, Fed returns to the previous scheme that the FOMC used until 2018: a rise in the beginning and in the end of the year, and a pause in the middle.

Simply put, Powell's comments last week were not as much of startling news as it seemed at first glance.
For the dollar rate, this could mean keeping the overall trend of growth with small reversals as part of an upward trend. Short-term, it is worth to pay attention to the dynamics of the dollar near 95.80 on DXY and the potential of EURUSD to continue its growth above 1.1400.

The fall of the dollar index below 95.50 is capable of becoming a signal of an upward trend, while for EURUSD, such signal would be received in the case of the pair growing above 1.1500.
Such a development would review the prospects of the dollar, questioning the main scenario with further development of the dollar due to a divergence in monetary policy.
submitted by FxProNews to economy [link] [comments]

Forex Technical Analysis: EUR.USD Forex Analysis 2020  EURCAD, EURAUD & EURUSD - YouTube How to Trade the EUR USD (Warning!!) - YouTube FOREX - EURUSD ANALYSIS Weekly Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, GBPJPY, EURGBP (March 30 – April 3, 2020)

EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and ... Interesting facts. EUR/USD is one of the most traded currency pairs in the world. It represents the value of the US dollar per one euro. The euro is a relativity new currency when compared with the other majors, it was established by the provisions in the 1992 Maastricht Treaty and is managed by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Eurosystem (comprised of the central banks of the eurozone). EUR USD (Euro / US Dollar) The most traded currency pairs in the world are called “the Majors” and the EURUSD leads this group as the most traded pair in the world. This pair represents the world two largest economies and has faced most volatility since the inception of the euro in 1999. Interesting facts. EUR/USD is one of the most traded currency pairs in the world. It represents the value of the US dollar per one euro. The euro is a relativity new currency when compared with the other majors, it was established by the provisions in the 1992 Maastricht Treaty and is managed by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Eurosystem (comprised of the central banks of the eurozone). Advanced live charts for forex trading are free and easy-to-use at ForexLive. These real-time charting packages let you apply technical analysis to hundreds of FX pairs.

[index] [452] [1976] [4504] [5507] [692] [4268] [596] [4929] [4850] [5235]

Forex Technical Analysis: EUR.USD

Product Order Form https://forms.gle/YEbWeWiZoZhV4cYTA GRAND PACK INCLUDE ALL PRODUCTS LICENSE VALID UNTIL END OF 2022 MASTER PRIVATE SIGNALS + CRONOS PACK +... Do not lose your money! If you really want to know how to trade the EUR USD without getting destroyed, this is a must-watch. Trade the Euro Dollar with cauti... Live Forex Trading: +170 Pips on EUR/USD using this Simple Strategy! - Duration: 12:54. TraderNick 14,953 views. 12:54. Forex Trading Live: Up $122.82 - Patience Pays! 📈 - Duration: 15:58. Out of the major currency pairs the most popular is the EUR/USD. This video could be extremely helpful for people who are about to start trading forex. -Subs... TO GAIN ACCESS TO FX GOAT COURSE 2.0 USE THE LINK BELOW !! 👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼 https://fxgoat.teachable.com Join our Trading Community through ...

http://ocdoltaneti.gq